Aviator Cashout Simulator 2026: Test Any Cashout Target Over 1,000 Rounds

Interactive Cashout Simulator

Run your own simulations below. Pick a cashout strategy, set your bankroll and bet size, and watch the results unfold across hundreds of rounds.

How We Built These Simulations

That means:

• 97% chance of 1x or higher (you break even or win)
• 48.5% chance of 2x or higher
• 32.3% chance of 3x or higher
• 19.4% chance of 5x or higher
• 9.7% chance of 10x or higher

For each strategy, we ran 10,000 separate simulations, each playing 1,000 consecutive rounds. Starting bankroll: $100. Bet size: $1 per round. No rebuy.

We tracked win rate, median ending balance, best/worst 5% outcomes, bust rate, and longest losing streaks. This gives you the full picture: not just averages, but what the ups and downs actually feel like.

Simulation Results: Fixed 2x Cashout

The 2x strategy is popular for good reason. It sits in the middle: not too conservative, not too aggressive. Let’s see what the numbers say after 1,000 rounds.

What does this mean? Play 1,000 rounds at $1 betting with a 2x cashout, and you’re as likely to end with $72 as you are to end worse. But there’s an 8% chance you’ll lose everything. That’s real.

The tightest outcomes (median) hover around break-even minus $28. The swings get wild: you could be up $45 or down $85. That 12-round losing streak? It happens.

Simulation Results: Fixed 1.5x Cashout

The 1.5x strategy is the conservative play. Higher win rate, lower variance. Perfect if you want to feel in control.

Notice the bust rate: 2% versus 8% for the 2x strategy. That’s meaningful. You’re also looking at a tighter range: worst case is $42, not $15. Your swings are smaller and more manageable.

Median ending balance is $78, still negative. But the psychological experience is very different. You’ll win more rounds. You’ll feel like you’re making progress more often.

Simulation Results: Fixed 3x Cashout

Now we step into more aggressive territory. The win rate drops, but the upside gets real.

This is where variance shows its teeth. You’ll lose 2 out of 3 rounds on average. But when you win, you win big: best 5% cases end above $210. That’s more than double your starting stack.

The downside: 18% bust rate means roughly 1 in 6 simulations end with zero balance. And losing streaks average 18 rounds. That requires mental toughness and proper bankroll management.

Simulation Results: Fixed 5x Cashout

The 5x strategy is the high-risk, high-reward play. Win rate is low. Bust rate is steep. But the ceiling is high.

You’ll lose 4 out of 5 rounds. Losing streaks of 30 rounds happen regularly. And 35% bust rate means more than one-third of players end with nothing.

But the best-case scenarios? $350 on a $100 starting stack. That’s life-changing money for some players. It’s purely a question of tolerance: can you weather 30-round dry spells?

Simulation Results: Fixed 10x Cashout

This is the lottery ticket strategy. Win 1 in 10 rounds. Lose 9 in 10. But hit the right sequence and you multiply your bankroll by 6x.

More than half of players bust. You’ll experience 65-round losing streaks. Winning streaks are short (2 rounds average). This strategy requires an iron will and a bankroll that can absorb massive drawdowns.

The flip side: $600 on $100. Six times your starting capital. It happens to 5% of players. The question is whether the odds justify the psychological wear.

Mixed Strategy Simulations: Hedging with Dual Bets

Some players try to hedge by splitting their bets: $0.50 at 2x and $0.50 at 5x on the same round. Does that smooth the ride?

The mixed strategy sits exactly in the middle. You get hit more often than pure 5x (55% vs 19.4%), but less often than pure 2x. Bust rate is lower than pure 5x (5% vs 35%) but higher than pure 2x (5% vs 8%).

The ending bankroll ($68) is also between the two. Mixed strategies don’t create magic, they create compromise. Use this only if you genuinely want both the stability of 2x and the upside of 5x.

The Master Comparison Table

Here’s the full side-by-side. All strategies have the same 3% house edge. Only the variance changes.

Notice the pattern? As you aim higher, your median result gets worse. But your ceiling gets higher. The trade is clear: more variance for more upside.

What the Simulations Tell Us

Lower cashout = more predictable, slower bleed. The 1.5x strategy lets you stay in the game longer. You’ll lose over time (the house always wins), but at least you’ll know where you stand each round. Win rate 64.7% means you get that dopamine hit frequently.

Higher cashout = wilder swings, same expected loss. The 5x and 10x strategies aren’t “better bets.” They’re just spikier. You lose more rounds, but when you win, you win big. The expected value (over infinite rounds) is the same: 3% house edge across all strategies.

The math is brutal. No matter which strategy you pick, you’re expected to lose 3 cents per dollar wagered. That’s not a debate; it’s the RTP. What changes is how long you stay sane.

Bust rate matters. At 1.5x, only 2% of long sessions end in total loss. At 10x, 55% do. If you’re playing on money you need, the lower-variance strategies are smarter. If you have free capital and can tolerate zero, go volatile.

Longest losing streaks are real. Don’t brush past that 65-round dry spell for the 10x strategy. That’s 65 consecutive rounds of losing $1. Can you absorb that psychologically? Mentally? Will you stick to your strategy or chase losses?

Mixed Strategy Simulations: Hedging with Dual Bets

Some players try to hedge by splitting their bets: $0.50 at 2x and $0.50 at 5x on the same round. Does that smooth the ride?

The mixed strategy sits exactly in the middle. You get hit more often than pure 5x (55% vs 19.4%), but less often than pure 2x. Bust rate is lower than pure 5x (5% vs 35%) but higher than pure 2x (5% vs 8%).

The ending bankroll ($68) is also between the two. Mixed strategies don’t create magic, they create compromise. Use this only if you genuinely want both the stability of 2x and the upside of 5x.

The Numbers Don’t Lie. Your Strategy Should Match Your Personality.

After 10,000 simulations across five strategies, one thing is clear: the math never changes. The house takes 3 cents per dollar. Every time. No cashout target fixes that.

What changes is how the ride feels. The 1.5x player wins often, loses slowly, and rarely busts. The 10x player sits through 65-round dry spells, watches their bankroll crater, and occasionally hits $600 from a $100 stack. Neither player beats the house. They just experience it differently.

So pick based on who you actually are at a table. Be honest about it. If a 12-round losing streak makes you chase losses and double your bets, the 3x strategy will wreck you faster than the math alone ever would. If you genuinely don’t mind losing 9 rounds in a row because that one big hit makes it worthwhile, the lower cashout targets will bore you into bad decisions.

Aviator simulations give you the map. But you still have to know your own temperament before you start walking.